And, while most pollsters had predicted a narrowing margin between Harris and Trump in the popular vote, almost all showed ...

Donald Trump defeated Kamala Harris in the 2024 race for the White House. Follow along with live updates from across the USA ...

Trump swept to victory, winning 295 Electoral College votes so far, but Harris had been predicted to win by almost every ...

“Unlike Nate Silver, who will try to squirm out of why he didn’t ... He certainly was not predicting a Trump Electoral College landslide,” Lichtman wrote on X. “And he said don’t trust my gut. So once ...

The founder of Aaru told Semafor that despite getting most predictions wrong, its model still “did well” and is faster and ...

Polls are almost always at least a bit off. Some of that is due to imperfect assumptions about what the likely voter ...

When I say the odds in this year’s presidential race are about as close as you can possibly get to 50/50, I’m not ...

Statistician Nate Silver has responded to Donald Trump's projected victory, as the former president sits on 266 electoral ...

Is Donald Trump going to lose Iowa? That’s the conclusion many US pundits came to after a bombshell poll over the weekend.

The model projected Vice President Kamala Harris as the likely winner despite her falling behind in vote counts ...

Nate Silver’s model continued to show Kamala Harris with a slight lead in potentially being elected president, even as the ...

Up-to-the-minute coverage on the presidential and congressional races and how they stand to shape crypto legislation and ...